Long range prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall

Advancing dynamical prediction of Indian monsoon rainfall

[1] Despite advances in seasonal climate forecasting using dynamical models, skill in predicting the Indian monsoon by such methods has proven poor. Our analysis identifies a flaw in the hitherto popular design of prediction systems in which atmospheric models are driven with a projected ocean surface temperature. Such a configuration presupposes Indian monsoon variability to be a consequence s...

Statistical Forecasting of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall: An Enduring Challenge

Relationship between ocean mean temperatures and Indian summer monsoon rainfall

M. M. Ali,* P. V. Nagamani,1 N. Sharma,1 R. T. Venu Gopal,2 M. Rajeevan,3 G. J. Goni4 and Mark A. Bourassa5 1Department of Space, National Remote Sensing Centre, Hyderabad, India 2Ministry of Earth Sciences, Indian National Center for Ocean Information Services, Hyderabad, India 3Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, India 4Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, National Oceanic...

Indian Monsoon Rainfall

Prediction of monsoon rainfall

Prediction of monsoon rainfall for a mesoscale Indian catchment based on stochastical downscaling and objective circulation patterns E. Zehe, A. K. Singh, and A. Bardossy Institute of Geoecology, University of Potsdam, Germany Civil Engineering Department, Nirma University of Science and Technology (NU) Ahmedabad 382 481, India Institute of Hydraulic Engineering, University of Stuttgart, German...